Xavier Edmonds Points Prediction: Under 13.5 vs TCU | March 19 NCAAB Pick
Xavier Edmonds' points prop presents a sharp Under opportunity on Thursday night. The Ohio State Buckeyes guard faces a stingy TCU Horned Frogs defense on March 19, and our projections favor staying under his 13.5-point line. Here's the case for backing the Under.
Xavier Edmonds Stats & Recent Form
Edmonds has been inconsistent as a secondary scorer for Ohio State this season. Over his last five games, he's averaged 11.8 points on mixed efficiency, with three games below 12 points and two above 15. His scoring touch has cooled noticeably in March, and he's failed to crack double figures in two of his last three outings. Edmonds' role remains volatile—he's heavily usage-dependent and struggles when the Buckeyes' offense runs through other weapons.
Matchup Analysis: Ohio State vs TCU
TCU ranks in the top 25 nationally for perimeter defense and holds opponents to just 38.2% from three-point range. The Horned Frogs' physical, ball-pressure scheme will disrupt Ohio State's spacing and force Edmonds into difficult looks. Additionally, TCU's pace is notably slower than Ohio State's preferred tempo, which should limit Edmonds' transition opportunities and reduce his scoring ceiling. With limited creation for himself, Edmonds projects closer to 11-12 points in this defensive grind.
Our Edmonds Points Prop Pick for March 19
UNDER 13.5 Points (-130) — Edmonds' recent slump aligns perfectly with TCU's defensive scheme. The Horned Frogs' perimeter lockdown, slower pace, and Ohio State's balanced scoring attack all point to a below-13.5 performance. This is a solid Under in an NCAAB props slate where defensive matchups matter, and the -130 juice is fair value for this projection.
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