Timo Meier Assists Prediction: Under 0.5 vs Capitals — March 20 NHL Pick
Timo Meier's assists prop is a sharp Under play on March 20 when the New Jersey Devils host the Washington Capitals. The Devils winger has been a consistent scorer but a secondary playmaker this season, and tonight's matchup sets up perfectly for backing the Under 0.5 assists line. Here's our breakdown of why we're taking Under at -385.
Timo Meier Stats & Recent Form
Meier has averaged 0.38 assists per game over his last 10 contests, falling short of the 0.5 line in seven of those 10 matchups. The Devils' 26-year-old wing is primarily a finisher—he's been shooting more and facilitating less as New Jersey's top power-play scorer. Over his last five games, Meier has recorded just one assist despite playing 18+ minutes per night, a clear indicator that his playmaking contributions remain sporadic and secondary to his scoring role.
Matchup Analysis: New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals
Washington enters with the 12th-ranked penalty kill and a defense that forces turnovers rather than allowing extended possession time. The Capitals' aggressive forechecking typically disrupts rhythm plays, making it harder for supporting forwards like Meier to set up linemates. Tonight's neutral-ice pace favors transition hockey over sustained offensive pressure, which limits assist-generating opportunities for non-primary playmakers on the Devils roster.
Our Meier Assists Prop Pick for March 20
We're backing the Under 0.5 assists at -385. Meier's role remains anchored to scoring—not setup plays—and the Washington matchup provides additional headwinds for assist opportunities. At -385 odds, the market is already pricing this as a likely outcome, but the data fully supports it. Take Under on the Timo Meier assists prop tonight.
Where to Bet Timo Meier Props Tonight
Ready to act on this pick? Here are your best options:
- DFS Play: Timo Meier is a strong play on Underdog Fantasy — enter promo code ONTAP for a deposit bonus.
- Sportsbook: Grab the line at Caesars Sportsbook. First Bet Matched Up to $250 in Bonus Bets.
- Prediction Markets: Trade this Timo Meier prop on Kalshi — the only federally regulated prediction market in the US. No sportsbook needed — use promo code ONTAP.
Always bet responsibly. Must be 18+.