Thomas Chabot Assists Prediction: Under 0.5 vs Sharks — March 15 NHL Pick
Thomas Chabot's assists prop is a lean-Under play on Sunday's NHL slate. The Ottawa Senators defenseman faces the San Jose Sharks on March 15, and our model projects Chabot to fall short of his 0.5 assist line. Here's why we're backing the Under.
Thomas Chabot Stats & Recent Form
Chabot has been a steady contributor on Ottawa's blue line, but his assist production has been inconsistent this season. Over his last five games, the 27-year-old defenseman is averaging 0.4 assists per game, with multiple contests where he failed to register a helper. Chabot's playmaking relies heavily on power-play opportunities and sustained offensive zone time—both of which have been limited in recent weeks as the Senators navigate a transition period.
Matchup Analysis: Ottawa Senators vs San Jose Sharks
San Jose ranks in the middle of the league in scoring and penalty differential, offering no particular advantage that would elevate Chabot's assist chances. The Sharks' defensive structure is sound enough to limit secondary scoring, and the Senators' offensive depth means touches are distributed across multiple forwards. With the game likely to feature typical pacing for both teams, Chabot faces a scenario where assists are harder to come by than goals for the team's attacking players.
Our Chabot Assists Prop Pick for March 15
We're backing the Under 0.5 Assists at -125. Chabot's recent assist average (0.4 per game) sits just below this line, and matchup conditions don't suggest a spike in playmaking opportunities. The -125 odds reflect smart money already recognizing the Under's value. This is a solid contrarian play for Kalshi prediction market traders and a reliable prop for NHL DFS builders looking to avoid the assist-dependent defenseman.
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