Pavel Dorofeyev Goals Prediction: Under 0.5 vs Sabres — March 18 NHL Pick
Pavel Dorofeyev's goals prop is a sharp Under play on March 18 when the Vegas Golden Knights visit the Buffalo Sabres. The Vegas winger faces a defensive matchup that favors low-volume scoring opportunities, and our model projects him to fall short of the 0.5-goal line. Here's why the Under is the play.
Pavel Dorofeyev Stats & Recent Form
Dorofeyev has been a consistent depth contributor for Vegas but lacks the offensive consistency to rely on as a goal-scorer night-to-night. Over his last five games, he's averaging well under one goal per contest, with stretches of multiple games without finding the net. His shooting efficiency has dipped in recent weeks, and he's operating in a secondary scoring role behind Vegas's top-six forwards. For a prop set at 0.5 goals, volume and opportunity matter—and Dorofeyev simply doesn't generate enough of either.
Matchup Analysis: Vegas Golden Knights vs Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo's defense ranks in the middle of the league but plays a tight, structured system that limits second-chance opportunities for opposing forwards. Vegas will likely deploy Dorofeyev in a depth role against this Sabres team, reducing his ice time in high-danger areas. The Golden Knights' offensive structure typically funnels shot volume through their elite centers and wing options, leaving Dorofeyev to catch scraps on the perimeter.
Our Dorofeyev Goals Prop Pick for March 18
Under 0.5 Goals (-250) is the sharp play. Dorofeyev's recent scoring drought, limited offensive role, and a defensive matchup that compresses space make it highly unlikely he finds the back of the net. The -250 odds reflect strong implied probability, and backing the Under here aligns with both his usage patterns and Buffalo's defensive profile. Lock in the Under.
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