OG Anunoby Threes Prediction: Under 2.5 vs Pacers Tonight (March 17)
OG Anunoby's threes prop is shaping up as a contrarian play on tonight's Knicks-Pacers matchup. The New York Knicks wing takes on Indiana on March 17, and our model projects Anunoby to fall short of his 2.5 three-pointer line. The Under at -188 odds offers solid value for sharp bettors.
OG Anunoby Stats & Recent Form
Anunoby has cooled from deep over his last five games, averaging just 1.8 threes per contest on 28% accuracy from distance. The Knicks' leading defender has been tasked with heavier perimeter responsibilities lately, eating into his offensive role. While he remains a capable floor spacer, recent game logs show a clear downtrend in three-point volume, particularly in matchups against top-tier defenses. This stretch aligns with New York's shift toward more ball movement and reduced reliance on Anunoby as a primary scorer.
Matchup Analysis: New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers
Indiana ranks 11th in three-point defense, holding opponents to 34.8% from beyond the arc. The Pacers' length and active hands will make life difficult for role-player shooters like Anunoby, who thrives best in rhythm but struggles when forced into catch-and-shoot situations against disciplined defense. The Knicks are expected to be slight favorites, but game flow could dictate a defensive-heavy affair that limits perimeter shot volume.
Our Anunoby Threes Prop Pick for March 17
UNDER 2.5 Threes (-188) — Anunoby's recent form and the Pacers' solid perimeter defense make the Under the smart play here. At -188 odds, you're getting fair compensation for a high-probability outcome. Look for him to contribute 1-2 threes at most, with his value coming from defense and rebounding rather than spacing. The Under 2.5 is the sharper side.
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