OG Anunoby Points Prediction: Under 18.5 vs Pacers — March 17 NBA Prop Pick
OG Anunoby's points prop sits at 18.5 in tonight's Knicks-Pacers matchup on March 17, and the sharp money is leaning Under. The New York Knicks wing has shown inconsistent scoring volume lately, and Indiana's defensive scheme is built to limit high-volume perimeter scorers. Our model projects Anunoby to fall short of the line.
OG Anunoby Stats & Recent Form
Over his last five games, Anunoby has averaged 16.2 points on 41% shooting from the field. The 26-year-old has dipped below 18.5 points in three of his last four contests, signaling a downturn from his season average of 19.1 PPG. He's been more focused on defensive intensity and three-point shooting variance than pure scoring, with his touches declining as Julius Randle and Jalen Brunson dominate ball-handling duties. When the Knicks play at a slower pace—which they do against strong defensive opponents—Anunoby's scoring opportunities shrink noticeably.
Matchup Analysis: New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers
Indiana ranks 8th in defensive rating and has held opponents to just 43.2% from the field over their last 10 games. The Pacers' switching scheme and length on the wings will make life difficult for Anunoby, who thrives in transition and kick-out situations—both rare against Indiana's methodical half-court defense. This is a slower-paced game environment where Anunoby typically sees fewer shot attempts, and Vegas is pricing the Under at -136 odds, reflecting sharp action on the play.
Our Anunoby Points Prop Pick for March 17
UNDER 18.5 Points — We're backing the Under on OG Anunoby's points prop prediction at -136 odds. Anunoby has underperformed this line in recent weeks, and Indiana's elite perimeter defense will force the Knicks to lean on Randle and Brunson instead. With Anunoby projected for 16-17 points in our DFS models and the Kalshi OG Anunoby prop reflecting market uncertainty, this represents strong value at these odds.
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