Nimari Burnett Points Prediction: Under 10.5 vs Saint Louis (March 21)
Nimari Burnett's points prop is a strong Under play on Saturday's college basketball slate. The Michigan Wolverines face the Saint Louis Billikens on March 21, and our model projects Burnett to fall short of his 10.5-point line. Here's why we're backing the Under.
Nimari Burnett Stats & Recent Form
Burnett has been a reserve contributor for Michigan this season, averaging 8.2 points per game over his last five contests. The sophomore guard's touches have been inconsistent, particularly in games where the Wolverines face defensive-heavy opponents. Over the past three weeks, he's eclipsed double figures just once, posting a 9.4 PPG average in limited minutes. His usage rate sits below 15% when Michigan gets into rhythm offensively.
Matchup Analysis: Michigan vs Saint Louis
Saint Louis brings a stingy defensive unit that ranks in the top 50 nationally in scoring defense. The Billikens play at a slower pace (68.9 possessions per game), which typically limits scoring opportunities for bench players like Burnett. Michigan's depth at the guard position means Burnett's minutes could be restricted further in a game where the Wolverines' starters are expected to dominate the ball-handling duties.
Our Burnett Points Prop Pick for March 21
UNDER 10.5 Points (-120). Burnett's reserve role, combined with Saint Louis's defensive intensity and slower tempo, creates a favorable setup for the Under. We project him to finish with 8-9 points on a night when Michigan's primary scorers take over. The -120 odds offer solid value on this Nimari Burnett prop prediction, and we're confident in backing the Under as part of your March Madness NCAAB props strategy.
Where to Bet Nimari Burnett Props Tonight
Ready to act on this pick? Here are your best options:
- DFS Play: Nimari Burnett is a strong play on Chalkboard — enter promo code ONTAP for a deposit bonus.
- Sportsbook: Grab the line at Novig. Spend $5, Get $50 in Novig Tokens — bet at true odds with zero vig.
- Prediction Markets: Trade this Nimari Burnett prop on Kalshi — the only federally regulated prediction market in the US. No sportsbook needed — use promo code ONTAP.
Always bet responsibly. Must be 18+.