Mikal Bridges Threes Prediction: Under 1.5 vs Knicks | NBA Prop Pick (March 20)
Mikal Bridges' threes prop is a sharp Under play on Friday night's Nets-Knicks matchup. The Brooklyn star faces his former team in New York on March 20, and our model projects Bridges to fall short of his 1.5-three line. Here's why we're backing the Under.
Mikal Bridges Stats & Recent Form
Bridges has averaged 1.2 threes per game over his last five contests, with just two games hitting the Over on his 1.5 line. The 27-year-old is shooting 32.1% from deep this season—well below his career 37.2% mark—and has cooled considerably in March. His volume is down to 3.8 three-point attempts per game recently, indicating both reduced shot diet and accuracy struggles against tighter defensive schemes.
Matchup Analysis: Brooklyn Nets vs New York Knicks
The Knicks' perimeter defense ranks top-12 in the league, and they'll likely assign their best wing defender to Bridges given the familiarity. New York's defense is particularly stingy against high-volume three-point shooters, holding opponents to just 33.8% from deep at home this season. With the Nets likely focused on interior scoring and rim-running against a vulnerable Knicks frontcourt, Bridges figures to see fewer open looks from beyond the arc.
Our Bridges Threes Prop Pick for March 20
Under 1.5 Threes (-154) is the play. Bridges is shooting cold, his attempts are trending down, and the Knicks' elite perimeter D will limit clean looks. The -154 odds are reasonable given the matchup dynamics and his recent 1.2 three-game average. This is a Kalshi Mikal Bridges prop we'd hammer confidently.
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