Kyle Connor Assists Prediction: Over 0.5 vs Blues — March 15 NHL Pick
Kyle Connor's assists prop is a sharp play on tonight's NHL slate. The Winnipeg Jets winger takes on the St. Louis Blues on March 15, and our model projects Connor to clear his 0.5-assist line with ease. Here's why we're backing the Over.
Kyle Connor Stats & Recent Form
Connor has been one of the Jets' most consistent offensive weapons this season, averaging 0.8 assists per game over his last five contests. The 26-year-old is currently riding a three-game point streak and has recorded at least one assist in four of his last five outings. When healthy, Connor operates as a primary playmaker on Winnipeg's top lines, making the 0.5 assist line a vulnerable target for bettors backing the Under.
Matchup Analysis: Winnipeg Jets vs St. Louis Blues
The Blues rank 22nd in the league in penalty kill efficiency and have allowed the fifth-most high-danger chances per game over the last 10 contests. Winnipeg enters as a -145 favorite on the moneyline, signaling the market's confidence in the Jets' offensive dominance. St. Louis's defensive structure has struggled against quick-passing teams, which plays directly into Winnipeg's system and Connor's playmaking tendencies.
Our Connor Assists Prop Pick for March 15
We're backing the Over 0.5 assists at -130 odds. Connor's recent production trend, elite playmaking role in Winnipeg's offense, and St. Louis's defensive vulnerabilities create a favorable spot for the Jets winger to notch at least one assist. The negative money reflects the sharp consensus, but the value remains solid given Connor's consistency and tonight's matchup dynamics.
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