Karl-Anthony Towns Threes Prediction: Under 1.5 vs Knicks Tonight (March 20)
Karl-Anthony Towns' threes prop is a sharp Under play on tonight's NBA slate. The Brooklyn Nets visit Madison Square Garden to face the New York Knicks on March 20, and our model projects Towns to fall short of his 1.5-three line. Here's why we're backing the Under at -168.
Karl-Anthony Towns Stats & Recent Form
Towns has struggled from deep over his last five games, averaging just 1.2 threes made per contest. The veteran big man is hitting only 31% from three over this stretch—well below his season average of 37%. More concerning, his shot volume from beyond the arc has dipped to 4.1 attempts per game in recent outings, a sign that either his confidence is wavering or offensive situations are limiting his opportunities. Against defensive pressure, Towns' three-point rate drops noticeably.
Matchup Analysis: Brooklyn Nets vs New York Knicks
The Knicks rank in the top five in three-point defense, holding opponents to just 33.8% from deep and forcing opposing bigs to take tougher looks. New York's perimeter intensity and interior help defense will compress Towns' space and force him into catch-and-shoot situations rather than the rhythm looks he needs. The Knicks' pace is also slower than Brooklyn's season average, further reducing volume opportunities for the Nets' shooters.
Our Towns Threes Prop Pick for March 20
We're backing the Under 1.5 threes at -168. Towns' recent shooting slump, limited volume, and the Knicks' elite three-point defense create a compelling case for the Under. At plus odds, this Under represents strong value in a game where Brooklyn's offensive rhythm will be disrupted by one of the league's stingiest perimeter defenses. Expect Towns to land closer to 0-1 threes tonight.
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