Jordan Pope Points Prediction: Under 15.5 vs NC State — March 18 NCAAB Pick
Jordan Pope's points prop is a sharp Under play on March 18 when Texas faces NC State in this critical tournament matchup. The Longhorns guard sits at a 15.5-point line, but recent trends and defensive matchups suggest Pope will fall short of that total. Here's why we're backing the Under.
Jordan Pope Stats & Recent Form
Pope has been inconsistent over his last five games, averaging 14.2 points per contest with three outings below the 15.5-point threshold. The Texas guard's scoring efficiency has dipped noticeably in March, particularly against top-tier defenses. While he's capable of explosive nights, his floor is lower than his ceiling—and NC State's defensive pressure will test his consistency on this stage.
Matchup Analysis: Texas vs NC State
NC State ranks in the top 25 nationally in perimeter defense, a critical factor against a guard-heavy Texas attack. The Wolfpack's length and switching scheme will disrupt Pope's rhythm and force contested looks. Additionally, NC State's pace of play is significantly slower than Texas's season average, which typically suppresses individual scoring totals across the board.
Our Pope Points Prop Pick for March 18
We're backing the Under 15.5 points on Jordan Pope. His recent scoring dips, NC State's elite perimeter defense, and the slower tournament pace all align for a below-line performance. This is a strong Jordan Pope prop prediction for a player who will see fewer easy opportunities than his season average suggests.
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