Grayson Allen Assists Prediction: Under 3.5 vs Suns Tonight (March 16)
Grayson Allen's assists prop is a sharp Under play on tonight's NBA slate. The Boston Celtics face the Phoenix Suns on March 16, and our model projects Allen to fall short of his 3.5-assist line. Here's why we're backing the Under.
Grayson Allen Stats & Recent Form
Allen has averaged 2.8 assists over his last five games, consistently operating below the 3.5 mark. The Celtics' wing has seen his playmaking role remain secondary to Jayson Tatum and Derrick White, who command the team's ball-handling duties. Allen's assist attempts haven't risen in Boston's recent stretch, and he's hit the Under in four of his last five outings. His role is designed around off-ball movement and three-point shooting, not initiating offense.
Matchup Analysis: Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns
The Suns' perimeter defense ranks in the top 10 defensively, which limits easy passing lanes for Boston's wings. Phoenix's pace-of-play is moderate, and the Celtics will likely control tempo through their traditional guards and forwards. Allen's touch rate remains low relative to his minutes, making it unlikely he'll generate enough assists to push past 3.5 in a half-court, defensive battle.
Our Allen Assists Prop Pick for March 16
We're backing the Under 3.5 Assists at -132. Allen's recent assist average sits comfortably below this number, and his role in Boston's offense doesn't demand increased playmaking against a tough Suns defense. The Under has hit in recent matchups, and we expect that trend to continue tonight. This Grayson Allen prop prediction is a solid add to your DFS and Kalshi picks for March 16 NBA action.
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