Fletcher Loyer Props Today vs Queens University | March 20, 2026

Fletcher Loyer continues to be one of Purdue's most reliable perimeter shooters as the Boilermakers prepare for their matchup against Queens University. The junior guard has settled into a consistent scoring role within Matt Painter's system, and his ability to knock down three-pointers makes him a key cog in Purdue's offensive attack. Against a Queens squad that projects as a significant underdog, the matchup presents an interesting opportunity to evaluate Loyer's scoring output in what should be a comfortable victory.

Points Prop: 16.5 Over/Under

Loyer's points line sits at 16.5 with the Under favored at -130 odds. The Queens defense has shown vulnerabilities against perimeter shooting teams this season, but the Royals will likely employ conservative offensive pacing to stay competitive for as long as possible. Loyer has been hovering around this line consistently over his last ten games, with several performances in the 14-18 point range. His shot selection and volume can fluctuate based on how freely Purdue's offense flows early, and against a weaker opponent, the Boilermakers may not need to lean as heavily on their secondary scorers.

The Under 16.5 represents solid value here. Loyer's role is important but not primary; he's the third or fourth option depending on matchup circumstances. Purdue's depth means scoring load distribution often keeps any single non-primary scorer from reaching ceiling numbers against inferior competition. His consistency points to a floor around 12-14 points with occasional bursts to 18-20, making the middle ground of 16.5 a reasonable barrier that the Under captures more often than not.

Recommendation: Under 16.5

Best Bet Today

The Under 16.5 Points is the clear play on Fletcher Loyer's prop slate. Loyer's recent scoring patterns, combined with Purdue's depth and the likely game script against a significantly weaker opponent, all align to suggest a night slightly below this threshold. Queens will need to keep possessions tight and contest shots, limiting Purdue's overall pace and creating fewer scoring opportunities for role players like Loyer. The -130 odds represent fair compensation for backing the Under, and historical data shows Loyer lands in the 13-16 point range more frequently than above 17 points in non-conference or tournament play against lesser competition.