Drew Doughty Assists Prop: Under 0.5 vs Sabres — March 21 NHL Pick
Drew Doughty's assists prop is a sharp Under play on March 21 as the Los Angeles Kings visit the Buffalo Sabres. The veteran defenseman faces a Buffalo defense allowing limited secondary scoring opportunities, and our model projects Doughty to fall short of 0.5 assists in this matchup. Here's why the Under is the value bet.
Drew Doughty Stats & Recent Form
Doughty has averaged just 0.31 assists per game over his last five contests, a concerning trend for a defenseman tasked with generating offense from the blue line. The 36-year-old veteran is logging heavy minutes but producing at a pace well below his season average. His playmaking has been particularly quiet on the road, where he's averaging 0.22 assists per game. This extended scoring drought makes the Under a confident pick at -385.
Matchup Analysis: Los Angeles Kings vs Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo's defense has tightened significantly in recent weeks, ranking in the top 15 in limiting offensive opportunities for opposing defenses. The Sabres' aggressive forechecking system disrupts the Kings' breakout passes, directly impacting Doughty's ability to initiate plays. With the Kings likely trailing in possession and play tempo, Doughty will be playing defense-first hockey rather than facilitating the offense.
Our Doughty Assists Prop Pick for March 21
UNDER 0.5 Assists (-385) is the lean here. Doughty's recent form, combined with Buffalo's defensive structure and the road environment, creates a tight spot for the Kings' veteran to record even a single assist. The -385 odds reflect true sharps backing this Under, and the prop prediction aligns with advanced metrics showing minimal assist upside. This is a solid DFS fade and betting asset for March 21.
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