Corey Washington Points Prediction: Under 12.5 vs Miami (OH) March 19
Corey Washington's points prop is a solid under play on SMU's matchup against Miami (OH) on March 19. The Mustangs face a defensive RedHawks squad with a strong perimeter-oriented game plan, and our model projects Washington to fall short of the 12.5-point line. Here's why we're backing the Under.
Corey Washington Stats & Recent Form
Washington has been inconsistent as a tertiary scorer for SMU this season, averaging 11.8 points per game over his last five contests. The guard's scoring touched 14-plus points in just two of his last five outings, with three games falling at or below 10 points. His usage rate dips significantly in games where SMU's top-two scoring options get early touches, and he's struggled to create his own shot in slower-tempo matchups.
Matchup Analysis: SMU vs Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) ranks in the top 40 nationally in defensive efficiency and has held opposing guards to 10.2 points per game on average this season. The RedHawks' scheme emphasizes perimeter pressure, which should limit Washington's spacing and offensive rhythm. With SMU likely to control pace and play a more methodical style against a defensive-minded opponent, Washington's opportunities to accumulate scoring will be limited.
Our Washington Points Prop Pick for March 19
We're backing the Under 12.5 points for Corey Washington on March 19. Miami (OH)'s stingy perimeter defense combined with Washington's recent inconsistency and lower usage rate in tight games makes this a sharp under play. The 12.5-point line overvalues his output potential in this matchup.
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