Connor McMichael Assists Prediction: Under 0.5 vs Devils — March 20 NHL Pick
Connor McMichael's assists prop is a sharp Under play on tonight's NHL slate. The Washington Capitals face the New Jersey Devils on March 20, and our model projects McMichael to stay under his 0.5-assist line. Here's why we're backing the Under.
Connor McMichael Stats & Recent Form
McMichael has been a complementary forward in Washington's lineup, averaging 0.3 assists per game over his last five contests. The 24-year-old plays primarily on the third or fourth line and is used more for even-strength depth scoring than primary playmaking duties. His assist totals have been inconsistent this season, with stretches of multiple games without a setup, making the under-0.5 line a strong value at -370 odds.
Matchup Analysis: Capitals vs Devils
New Jersey's defense has been disciplined and difficult to crack this season, ranking in the league's upper half in penalty kill and defensive structure. The Devils' top-pairing defensemen limit high-danger chances in their zone, which typically reduces assist opportunities for role players like McMichael. With the Capitals likely using McMichael in a depth role against New Jersey's sturdy defense, his playmaking opportunities will be limited.
Our McMichael Assists Prop Pick for March 20
UNDER 0.5 Assists (-370) — Connor McMichael's assists prop prediction heavily favors the Under. His recent role as a depth forward, combined with limited touches on secondary lines and New Jersey's defensive competence, makes it unlikely he records even a single assist. The -370 odds are justified here; lock in the Under.
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