Anze Kopitar Assists Prediction: Under 0.5 vs Sabres — March 21 NHL Pick
Anze Kopitar's assists prop is a sharp Under play on March 21 when the Los Angeles Kings visit the Buffalo Sabres. The veteran center faces a defensive matchup that limits his playmaking opportunities, and our model projects him to stay Under the 0.5 assists line. Here's why we're backing the Under.
Anze Kopitar Stats & Recent Form
Kopitar has averaged 0.47 assists per game over his last five contests, a stretch where he's primarily been grinding in a defensive role rather than orchestrating plays from the point. The 37-year-old has seen declining secondary assists in recent weeks as the Kings' offensive system has shifted away from him as a primary setup man. While he remains a reliable two-way presence, his assist output has been bottlenecked by reduced ice time in high-danger situations and fewer power-play opportunities. In March specifically, Kopitar is averaging just 0.42 assists per game.
Matchup Analysis: Los Angeles Kings vs Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo's defense ranks in the middle of the league in penalty differential, meaning fewer power plays for Los Angeles where Kopitar typically racks up helpers. The Sabres also play a tight, low-event defensive structure that limits secondary scoring chances—exactly the kind of environment where a veteran center's assist prop struggles. The Kings' overall offensive pace has slowed over the last week, and Kopitar will likely see limited opportunities to dish out assists in a game where the Sabres are expected to control play segments.
Our Kopitar Assists Prop Pick for March 21
We're backing the Under 0.5 assists at -175 odds. Kopitar's recent assist trend, combined with Buffalo's defensive structure and the Kings' slower offensive tempo, makes it highly likely he records zero assists tonight. At -175, the Under is properly valued and offers solid expected value on a night where the 37-year-old will be grinding rather than creating.
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